Events
Past Event
WED@NICO SEMINAR: Penny Mealy, University of Oxford "Adjacent Possible Policies: The Climate Policy Space Conditions Future Policy Adoption"
Northwestern Institute on Complex Systems (NICO)
12:00 PM
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Lower Level, Chambers Hall
Details
Speaker:
Penny Mealy - Economist at the World Bank, Research Associate at INET and the University of Oxford Smith School of Enterprise and the Environment, Adjunct Senior Research Fellow at SoDa Labs at the Monash Business School
Title:
Adjacent Possible Policies: The Climate Policy Space Conditions Future Policy Adoption
Abstract:
The feasibility of implementing climate policy – rather than technological constraints or economic costs – is now looming as one of the biggest impediments to keeping global warming below 1.5’C. While it is often recognized that certain policies are possible in some contexts and not others, to date there has been limited quantitative or empirical analysis of the extent to which policy feasibility differs across countries. Drawing on a rich dataset of climate policies introduced across countries over the last 50 years, this paper explores global patterns in climate policy adoption and identifies climate policies that are likely to involve greater political effort than others. By constructing a ‘Climate Policy Space’ network based on the co-occurrence of climate policies across countries, we illustrate differences in countries’ climate policy adoption and their evolution through time.
We also develop a measure of climate policy alignment and show that this measure is significantly predictive of future climate policy adoption. Based on this measure, we construct empirically validated climate policy ‘feasibility frontiers’ for each country, highlighting climate policies that are likely to be more feasible to adopt. While the exploring space of feasible climate policies paints a sobering picture for some countries, having a better understanding of countries’ policymaking realities could help improve the policy design process and increase the probability of successful climate policy implementation in the future.
Speaker Bio:
Penny Mealy is an economist at the World Bank, a Research Associate at INET and the Oxford Smith School of Enterprise and the Environment, and an Adjunct Senior Research Fellow at SoDa Labs at the Monash Business School. Her work applies various methods from complex systems and data science to analyse the interrelated challenges of climate change and economic development. Her research has developed novel, data-driven approaches for analysing structural change, occupational mobility and the future of work, and the transition to the green economy.
Penny completed a PhD at the Institute for New Economic Thinking at Oxford University. She has held various research fellow roles at the Oxford Martin School, the Oxford Smith School of Enterprise and the Environment, the Bennett Institute for Public Policy at Cambridge University, and SoDa Labs, Monash University. Penny also has frequently advised international organisations, governments and businesses on green growth and development strategies.
Location:
NOTE: Penny Mealy is joining this talk remotely via Zoom. Attendees are welcome to join us in Chambers Hall as usual where we will project and moderate the talk. We will have boxed lunches for those in attendance.
In person: Chambers Hall, 600 Foster Street, Lower Level
Remote option: https://northwestern.zoom.us/j/93658786968
Passcode: NICO22
About the Speaker Series:
Wednesdays@NICO is a vibrant weekly seminar series focusing broadly on the topics of complex systems and data science. It brings together attendees ranging from graduate students to senior faculty who span all of the schools across Northwestern, from applied math to sociology to biology and every discipline in-between. Please visit: https://bit.ly/WedatNICO for information on future speakers.
Time
Wednesday, October 26, 2022 at 12:00 PM - 1:00 PM
Location
Lower Level, Chambers Hall Map
Contact
Calendar
Northwestern Institute on Complex Systems (NICO)
WED@NICO SEMINAR: Lightning Talks with NU Scholars!
Northwestern Institute on Complex Systems (NICO)
12:00 PM
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Lower Level, Chambers Hall
Details
May 20th Speakers:
Yulin Yu, Postdoctoral Fellow, Kellogg School of Management
Feihong Xu, PhD Candidate, McCormick School of Engineering
Maalvika Bhat, PhD Student, School of Communication
Rochana Chaturvedi, Postdoctoral Fellow, Kellogg School of Management
NICO Lightning talks are open to Northwestern graduate students, postdoctoral fellows, and visiting scholars! If you are interested in signing up for a future session, please fill out this short survey.
Talk Titles and Abstracts:
Yulin Yu
Postdoctoral Fellow
Kellogg School of Management &
Northwestern Institute on Complex Systems
Human–AI Creative Pathways: How People and Machines Differ in Creative Strategy
Generative AI offers the promise of amplifying creativity by recombining knowledge at a scale far beyond human capacity, yet humans still hold key advantages in flexibility and contextual reasoning. To understand how each achieves novelty, we analyzed more than 5,000 responses to the Divergent Association Task from both humans and AI systems using network-based methods. We find that while individual humans use fewer and simpler conceptual categories than machines, the collective diversity of human ideas is substantially higher. Human creative pathways tend to follow a one-directional but highly unpredictable trajectory, whereas AI systems rely on repetitive, back-and-forth exploration patterns. Finally, both humans and machines show anchoring effects—early ideas shape later responses—but in opposite ways: humans anchor low, while machines anchor high.
Feihong Xu
PhD Candidate
Engineering Sciences & Applied Mathematics
McCormick School of Engineering
A Well-Calibrated Model Similarity Measure for Arbitrary Neural Networks
Deep learning approaches have transformed biological and biomedical image analysis, but model opacity and fragility remain major obstacles to trustworthy use. One barrier is the lack of a well-calibrated measure of similarity across arbitrary neural networks trained with different architectures, checkpoints, random initializations, and training strategies. Existing notions of model similarity span functional and representational domains, often rely on heuristic assumptions, and are susceptible to spurious signals introduced by probing samples, making principled cross-model meta-analysis difficult. Here, we clarify prevailing notions of deep neural network similarity and benchmark their robustness under extensive out-of-distribution perturbations. We then introduce the Ahmad RV coefficient on chain weight matrices (wARV), a theoretically grounded weight-space similarity measure that combines chain-normalized weights with the RV coefficient. wARV is sample-agnostic, symmetric, computationally efficient, and better calibrated than current measures. Across benchmarks varying random initialization, training checkpoint, architecture, and training strategy, wARV more faithfully tracks functional similarity while avoiding confounding effects from probing data. Applying wARV to deep neural network models on both generic and medical image classification tasks, we uncover substantial learning heterogeneity and instability even among models with similar predictive performance.
Maalvika Bhat
PhD Student
Technology and Social Behavior
School of Communication &
McCormick School of Engineering
Scholars See Clickbait as a Greater Threat to Science Than to Their Own Work
As scientific research competes for attention in a media landscape driven by sensationalism, the risks of misrepresentation grow. This study examines whether academics, while widely recognizing clickbait as a threat to science broadly, tend to downplay its relevance to their own work. Surveying 5,603 U.S.-based researchers, we find a consistent perception gap between systemic and personal risk, one that varies by career stage and disciplinary context. Early-career scholars show a pronounced version of this asymmetry: they express heightened concern about clickbait’s harms to science while rating its relevance to their own work as comparatively lower, a pattern that leaves them most exposed at a stage when reputational stakes are highest.
Rochana Chaturvedi
Postdoctoral Fellow
Kellogg School of Management &
Northwestern Institute on Complex Systems
Who Gets the Callback? Generative Artificial Intelligence and Gender Bias
Large language models are increasingly embedded in hiring workflows, raising concerns about their potential to amplify societal biases — yet how these biases manifest within and across occupations, and the role of model 'personality' in shaping these biases, remains unexplored. We introduce a three-part attribution framework applied to 332,044 real-world job ads, measuring gender-based callback bias, associations of skills and traits with gendered stereotypes in LLMs, and the effect of simulated recruiter personas. We find that LLMs systematically favor men, especially in higher-wage roles, with their decisions tracking traditional gendered language cues in job postings. Notably, assigning a low-agreeableness persona reduces model bias, implicating sycophancy as a mechanism reinforcing societal stereotypes; at the same time, controversial personas trigger internal guardrails leading to more cautious and less-biased outputs. These findings highlight how alignment choices in AI-driven hiring systems shape bias, with important implications for fairness and diversity.
Location:
In person: Chambers Hall, 600 Foster Street, Lower Level
Remote option: https://northwestern.zoom.us/j/98031689779
About the Speaker Series:
Wednesdays@NICO is a vibrant weekly seminar series focusing broadly on the topics of complex systems, networks, and artificial intelligence. It brings together attendees ranging from graduate students to senior faculty who span all of the schools across Northwestern, from applied math to sociology to biology and every discipline in-between. Please visit: https://bit.ly/WedatNICO for information on future speakers.
Time
Wednesday, May 20, 2026 at 12:00 PM - 1:00 PM
Location
Lower Level, Chambers Hall Map
Contact
Calendar
Northwestern Institute on Complex Systems (NICO)